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SjT: Big 10 Bowling
Story URL: http://northwestern.scout.com/2/700540.html
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Stephen J. Truog
PurpleWildcats.com | Nov 11, 2007 |
As fun as it may see to watch OSU lose another late-season #1 ranking at home, yes, this did hurt the Cats big-time.
And part of me was glad that at least the OSU loss would give Oregon a chance to prove they're clearly better than an LSU team living up on
the SEC's past reputation (51-31? Is there no defense left for the SEC's defenses?) ... part of me sees a scenario similar to five years ago happening again.
Back then, the BCS computers screwed the Pac 10 champ (USC)
and allowed the Big XII champ Sooners (coming off a loss) to play LSU in
a Tiger home game in the Superdome. Now, swap Ducks for Trojans and history
could repeat itself as LSU will almost certainly be at home in the title
game and a big boost from the computers for playing the KU-Mizzou winner
in the title game could jump Oklahoma ahead of the Ducks.
But back to the Big Ten ... it's pretty amazing, but the Big Ten has
TEN bowl-eligible teams now. In the SEC they call that amazing strength,
but I guess we'll get dumped on for it as the media has yet to recognize
that Illinois, Wisconsin and Penn State are some pretty solid teams. However,
we only seven spots, as the OSU loss all but guaranteed that there will
be no at-large BCS berth. Even more amazing is that the ones who are "just
in" at six wins easily could have seven if IU and MSU didn't collapse in
October and NU coulda beat friggin' Duke.
We're pretty much the #10 choice any way you slice it unless we can
win next week and get to 7-5 and be forced to be taken ahead of 6-6 teams
like MSU and Indiana (who have tough rivalry games as well next week).
So, after yet another wild weekend, a new look at the bowl projections
..
BCS TITLE GAME: Oregon vs. LSU - I'm hoping that LSU slips up or that a
so-so SEC title game foe hurts their computer rankings, but they're in
anyway, so I hope that the Ducks at least get there to face 'em. However,
an Oklahoma-Oregon title game would be so much better - great contest,
all the spillover from last year's controversial game in Eugene and no
home cooking for the SEC to give one side an edge.
ROSE BOWL: Ohio State vs. Arizona State - The Rose will happily take the
winner of the ASU-USC turkey day game if the Ducks head to the title contest
and while I wouldn't count out Michigan in Lloyd's home finale, the Bucks
won't lose two in a row.
SUGAR BOWL: Florida vs. Hawaii - With LSU in the title game, the folks
in New Orleans take another SEC team to fill seats against the Hawaii team
they have to take (too bad because I'd love to see a Zooker Bowl in Orlando
with the Gators and Illini!).
FIESTA BOWL: Oklahoma vs. West Virginia - Here's where things get tricky.
Usually the Mountaineers head to Miami, but since Texas will likely be
the other at-large team, and we don't want Red River Rivalry II, they go
here and we get a heck of a matchup.
ORANGE BOWL: Clemson vs. Texas - With BC falling apart and the Hokies still
shaky, Clemson seizes the moment to finish strong and take a ton of orange
to the Orange Bowl. The folks in Miami would love to have the Gators, but
they'll settle for more orange with Tejas.
CITRUS BOWL: Illinois vs. Georgia - The Illini are the big story, have
the Chicago market and really deserve to be the #2 pick if they beat NU
as they beat PSU and Wisky and will have one more win than Big Blue. But
you could see PSU sneak in on rep and fan support. Meanwhile, the Dogs
settle for Orlando after the SEC title game loss.
OUTBACK BOWL: Michigan vs. Kentucky - Tough call who Tampa will take from
the Big Ten or SEC here. Michigan beat PSU, PSU beat Wisky, Wisky beat
Michigan and all have name and fan support ... Lloyd Carr's final game
may be the tipping point. As for their opponent, the Vols were here last
year and the Gamecocks and Kentucky are fading ... Auburn or Alabama could
go here also.
CHAMPS BOWL: Penn State vs. Florida State - Wisky was in Orlando last year,
plus can you get a better mid-level bowl story than JoePa against Bobby
with the two likely being withing a game on the all-time win chart?
ALAMO BOWL: Wisconsin vs. Texas Tech - Could be the "goodbye coach" bowl
if Michigan plays Texas A&M ... but we'll settle for a lot of red and
a run vs. pass showdown.
INSIGHT BOWL: Purdue vs. Colorado - The Buffs have battled hard this year
while the Boilers may be a tad underappreciated and can light it up with
anyone.
MOTOR CITY BOWL: Iowa vs. Central Michigan - After beating Western Michigan
next week, the Hawks will be 7-5 and will have to be chosen ahead of the
6-6 Spartans (much to Detroit's dismay) unless Sparty shocks PSU.
As for the rest, Indiana is likely the first to get an at-large bid because
of the story (they're also the most likely to upset their rival next weekend
of the 6-6 teams). MSU comes after that and NU is last in the pecking order.
Bottom line, I guess, is that the non conference games count. We beat Duke
(or hang on vs. any of the three Big Ten games where we had late leads)
and we're in better shape. And if Michigan had done better against AS or
Oregon or the Illini not fumbled so often against Mizzou, maybe we get
an extra berth thanks to two BCS at-large teams.
GO CATS!!!
-SjT
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